Key Points:
- The political battle for the Delhi Assembly elections intensifies with AAP, BJP, and Congress claiming victory.
- Surveys and Phalodi Satta Bazaar predict another term for AAP, albeit with reduced seats.
- C-Voter survey shows 49% support for AAP, while 46% seek a change in government.
- AAP’s challenge lies in mobilizing its voters amidst a potential division of anti-AAP votes between BJP and Congress.
- In the last election, AAP won a massive 62 out of 70 seats, forming the government with a huge majority.
New Delhi: The stage is set for a high-stakes battle in the upcoming Delhi Assembly elections. The Aam Aadmi Party (AAP), led by Chief Minister Arvind Kejriwal, is confident of retaining power, while the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) aims to unseat it, calling the current regime a “disaster.” Meanwhile, the Congress party is optimistic about reclaiming its lost ground and forming the government in Delhi after a prolonged hiatus.
Surveys and Satta Bazaar Predictions
Amid the political fervor, two independent surveys and Rajasthan’s renowned Phalodi Satta Bazaar have predicted AAP’s return to power, though with a reduced margin compared to the previous elections.
According to the Phalodi Bazaar, AAP is projected to secure 37-39 seats, a significant drop from the 62 seats it won in the last elections. BJP is estimated to gain momentum with 25-35 seats, while Congress is predicted to bag around three seats. Before the official election announcement, projections suggested AAP’s tally could range between 30-40 seats, leaving a narrow margin for its rivals to bridge.
C-Voter Survey Insights
A survey conducted by C-Voter echoes similar sentiments, revealing that 49% of Delhi’s electorate prefers AAP to continue governing the state. However, 46% of respondents expressed a desire for change. The survey underscores a critical factor: AAP’s ability to mobilize its core voter base. While the anti-AAP sentiment appears significant, the division of these votes between BJP and Congress could work in AAP’s favor, provided it manages to consolidate its own support base effectively. The survey estimates a 17-19% margin for AAP to form the government.
Last Election’s Performance
In the previous assembly elections, AAP fielded candidates on all 70 seats, winning an overwhelming 62 of them. This landslide victory enabled the party to form the government with a massive majority. The BJP, despite contesting 67 seats, managed to win only eight seats. Other parties, including Congress, failed to open their account.
The Road Ahead
As the elections draw closer, the real challenge for AAP lies in turning its projected support into actual votes. BJP, with an aggressive campaign strategy, seeks to capitalize on anti-incumbency sentiments, while Congress aims to stage a comeback by leveraging its legacy. With predictions favoring AAP but highlighting vulnerabilities, all eyes are on how these parties strategize to sway voters and secure a decisive mandate.
