New Delhi: The India Meteorological Department (IMD) said on Tuesday that the low-pressure area over Southeast Arabian Sea in South Porbandar in Gujarat is likely to move northwest. The cyclonic storm Biparjoy formed from this can intensify further. Cyclone Biparjoy has been named Bangladesh. The Meteorological Department said in a bulletin that the low-pressure area was located about 920 km west-southwest of Goa, 1,120 km south-southwest Mumbai, 1,160 km south of Porbandar, and 1,520 km south of Karachi in Pakistan at 5.30 am.
The IMD on Monday said that due to the formation of a low-pressure area over the southeast Arabian Sea and its intensification in the next two days, cyclonic winds can seriously affect the progress of the Monsoon towards the Kerala coast. However, the Meteorological Department did not give a possible date for the arrival of monsoon in Kerala. Private weather forecasting agency ‘Skymet Weather’ told that the monsoon may knock in Kerala on June 8 or 9, but there is a possibility of light rain only. He said that ‘these powerful weather systems in the Arabian Sea affect the arrival of monsoon in the interior areas. Under its influence, the monsoon can reach the coastal areas but it will struggle to move beyond the Western Ghats.
The southwest monsoon generally enters Kerala on June 1 with a standard deviation of about seven days. In mid-May, the IMD had said that the monsoon could hit Kerala by June 4. The southeast monsoon arrived last year on May 29, 2021, June 3, 2020, June 8, 2019, and May 29 in 2018. The IMD had earlier said that despite the development of El Nino conditions, India is expected to receive normal rainfall during the southwest monsoon season.
Scientists say that a slight delay in the monsoon in Kerala does not mean that the monsoon will reach other parts of the country too late. This also does not affect the total rainfall across the country during the monsoon. The IMD had earlier said that India is expected to receive normal rainfall during the southwest monsoon despite the changing El Nino conditions. Less than normal rainfall is expected in North-West India. East and Northeast, Central and South Peninsula are expected to receive 94-106 percent rainfall of the Long Period Average (LPA) of 87 cm.