Key Points:
- Phalodi Satta Bazaar revises predictions for Delhi Assembly Elections 2025
- AAP projected to win 37-39 seats, down from earlier estimate of 39-41
- BJP gains ground, now predicted to secure 31-33 seats, up from 29-31
- Main contest remains between AAP and BJP; Congress not featured in predictions
- Voting scheduled for February 5, results to be announced on February 8
New Delhi: As the Delhi Assembly Elections 2025 draw near, all eyes are on the infamous Phalodi Satta Bazaar in Rajasthan, known for its uncannily accurate electoral predictions. In a dramatic turn of events, the betting market has revised its forecast, potentially altering the course of Delhi’s political future.
AAP’s Grip Loosens, But Victory Still in Sight
The Aam Aadmi Party (AAP), led by Arvind Kejriwal, finds itself in a bittersweet position. While still projected to cross the majority threshold of 36 seats in the 70-member assembly, the party’s estimated seat count has dipped. The Phalodi Satta Bazaar now predicts AAP will secure 37-39 seats, down from its earlier projection of 39-41.
This slight decline suggests that while AAP remains the frontrunner, its dominance may be waning compared to its landslide victory in 2020 when it clinched 62 seats.
BJP Surges Forward, Narrows the Gap
The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) emerges as the biggest gainer in the revised predictions. The satta bazaar now estimates the BJP will win 31-33 seats, a notable increase from its previous forecast of 29-31 seats. This uptick indicates growing momentum for the BJP, which has been out of power in Delhi for nearly three decades.
If these predictions hold true, the BJP could significantly improve upon its 2020 performance when it secured only 8 seats.
A Two-Horse Race: AAP vs BJP
The latest Phalodi Satta Bazaar predictions reinforce the notion that the Delhi Assembly Elections 2025 are primarily a contest between the AAP and BJP. Notably absent from the market’s projections is the Congress party, which dominated Delhi politics for 15 years until 2013.
The Road Ahead: Crucial Dates and Voter Base
With voting scheduled for February 5 and results to be announced on February 8, both parties are in the final stretch of their campaigns. The Election Commission has reported nearly 1.55 crore registered voters in Delhi, including 71.74 lakh women and over 2 lakh first-time voters.
Caution: Predictions vs Reality
While the Phalodi Satta Bazaar’s predictions often garner attention for their accuracy, it’s crucial to remember that they are speculative and not official forecasts. The true outcome will only be known when votes are counted on February 8, 2025.
As Delhi’s political temperature rises, the shifting sands of these predictions add another layer of intrigue to an already heated electoral battle. With both AAP and BJP fine-tuning their strategies in response to these changing dynamics, the coming days promise to be a rollercoaster ride for Delhi’s political landscape.
