Key Points
- Low-pressure area persists over west-central and northwest Bay of Bengal off North Andhra–South Odisha; likely to intensify and move WNW, enhancing monsoon rains.
- Heavy to very heavy rain likely in Vidarbha, Odisha, Chhattisgarh, Coastal Andhra Pradesh, Rayalaseema, and Telangana through Aug 14–17; extremely heavy at isolated spots in Telangana on Aug 14 and Coastal Andhra & Yanam on Aug 13.
- Delhi–NCR under heavy rain watch through Aug 17; IMD sub-division warning active for successive days.
- Hills on alert: Uttarakhand and Himachal Pradesh under enhanced rainfall spell with risks of landslides and flash floods; peak intensity around Aug 13–14.
- East-to-West rain belt from Bengal to Gujarat–Maharashtra expected as monsoon trough stays active.
New Delhi: A low-pressure area is anchored over the west-central and adjoining northwest Bay of Bengal off the North Andhra Pradesh–South Odisha coasts, with an associated cyclonic circulation up to 7.6km that is likely to become well-marked within 24 hours and move west-northwest across North Coastal Andhra and South Odisha over the next 48 hours, sustaining widespread rainfall activity across central, east, and parts of northwest India.
Region-wise Forecast (Aug 14–17)
East, Central, and Peninsula
- Odisha, Chhattisgarh, Vidarbha: Heavy to very heavy rainfall likely at isolated places during Aug 14–16 amid the westward-moving low-pressure system.
- Telangana: Heavy to very heavy rainfall with isolated extremely heavy rain on Aug 14; warnings continue into the week.
- Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam: Extremely heavy rainfall likely at isolated places on Aug 13; heavy to very heavy spells continue Aug 14–16.
- Rayalaseema: Isolated heavy rain possible amid broader activity Aug 14–16.
North and Northwest India
- Delhi–NCR: Generally cloudy with one or two spells of light to moderate rain on Aug 14 morning/forenoon; heavy rain warnings are in effect for Aug 14–16 at the sub-division level, with intermittent showers likely through Aug 17 per multiple bulletins.
- Uttar Pradesh: Heavy rainfall likely at isolated places on Aug 14 as per national bulletin; broader thunderstorm/rain activity expected across the state in the next 2–3 days.
- Uttarakhand & Himachal Pradesh: Enhanced rainfall spell Aug 11–14 with peak on Aug 13–14; heavy to very heavy rain at isolated places, raising landslide/flash flood risk.
West India
- Maharashtra (Konkan & Goa, Madhya Maharashtra): Heavy to very heavy rain at places during Aug 14–16; widespread showers continue through the week per IMD weekly outlooks.
- Gujarat Region/Saurashtra–Kutch: Heavy rain likely at intervals, with cyclonic circulation over Kutch aiding activity; watch for localized flooding.
East and Northeast
- Bihar: Periods of heavy rain flagged in the national summary around Aug 10–13 window with continued thunderstorm risk; localized heavy showers may persist as the trough remains active.
- Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim: Heavy rain risk on select days; watch for landslides in vulnerable stretches.
Delhi–NCR: What to Expect
- Today (Aug 14): Generally cloudy; one or two spells of light to moderate rain, higher probability in morning/forenoon per district bulletin.
- Aug 15–17: Intermittent showers continue; sub-division heavy rain warnings remain posted across successive days.
- Temperatures: Max around 31–35°C with humid conditions amid active monsoon trough and southwesterlies.
Impact and Advisory
- Hills (Uttarakhand, Himachal): Elevated landslide/flash flood risk in the next 24–48 hours; avoid vulnerable slopes, hydel channels, and riverbanks.
- Urban centers (Delhi–NCR, Hyderabad, Bhubaneswar, Nagpur, Mumbai): Localized waterlogging, traffic delays, and visibility drops likely during heavy spells; follow civic and traffic advisories.
- Coastal Andhra–Odisha: Extremely heavy pockets possible; fishermen and marine operations should monitor sea area bulletins as moderate to rough seas and gusty winds accompany the system.
- Agriculture: Plan fieldwork around heavy rain windows; ensure drainage for standing crops and secure inputs against gusty winds.
City/State Snapshots
- Delhi–NCR: Cloudy with morning rain spells today; periodic showers through Aug 17; heavy rain sub-division warnings in force.
- Telangana: Heavy to very heavy rain with isolated extremely heavy on Aug 14; continue precautions for flooding and lightning.
- Odisha & Coastal AP/Yanam: Very heavy to extremely heavy spells around Aug 13, heavy thereafter as the low tracks inland.
- Himachal & Uttarakhand: Peak heavy rain around Aug 13–14; road closures and landslide disruptions possible; orange-level advisories highlighted in updates.
- Vidarbha/Chhattisgarh: Heavy to very heavy rain likely as low moves WNW over next 2–3 days.
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