IIT claims, 4.4 lakh new corona cases will arrive in country daily from May 4 to 8

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New Delhi: Scientists at the Indian Institute of Technology (IIT) have revised their forecasts based on a mathematical model now to say that the number of cases under trial during the second wave of Covid 19 in India from 14 to 18 May The peak can reach between 38-48 lakhs and the number of daily cases of infection between four and eight may touch 4.4 lakhs.

On Monday, 3,52,991 new cases of infection were reported in India and 2,812 more people died from the epidemic. With this, the number of under-treated patients in the country increased to 28,13,658. Scientists from IIT Kanpur and Hyderabad, using the model named ‘Sutra’, said that by mid-May, the number of under-trials could increase to more than 1 million.

The deadline and number of cases have been improved in the new forecast. Last week, researchers had predicted that the epidemic could peak between 11 and 15 May and that the number of under-trials could reach 33-35 million and by the end of May it would decline sharply.

Earlier this month, scientists had predicted that the number of under-trials in the country would peak until April 15, but this did not prove to be true. “This time, I have also done minimum and maximum computations for forecasting data,” said Maninder Agarwal, professor in the Department of Computer Science and Engineering at IIT-Kanpur. I believe the actual figure will be between the minimum and maximum figures mentioned. “
On Sunday, Aggarwal shared the new statistics related to the cases under treatment and the prediction of reaching the peak of new cases. He said in a tipped-in tweet, “Time to reach the peak: May 14-18 for under-treatment cases and May 4-8 for daily cases of infection.” Reaching the peak: 38-48 lakh undertrial cases and 3.4 to 4.4 lakh daily new cases. “

Aggarwal also mentioned that it is not clear what the final figure will be. This study report is not yet published. Scientists said that the ‘sutra’ model has many specialties.

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Gautam Menon and his team at Ashoka University in Haryana had predicted in an independent calculation that the current wave of Covid-19 could reach its peak between mid-April to mid-May. Menon also cautioned that such forecasts related to Covid-19 should only be believed in the short term.

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